Opta predicted final 2024/25 Premier League table updated after Chelsea’s win – Intriguing | OneFootball

What do you predict with the final 2024/25 Premier League table?

Following these midweek results.

A full midweek programme of Premier League matches, this was the 30th round of PL games.

A massive result for Newcastle United against Brentford, as NUFC look to qualify for the Champions League spots. That result had moved United up to fifth in the table.

Fulham, Brighton and Bournemouth all had defeats, which may well have ended their hopes of top five, certainly severely damaged them as a minimum.

Thursday night saw Chelsea scrape a 1-0 win at home to a very poor Spurs sideSo, where do you now see Newcastle United fitting in when it comes to the end of the season?

This is how the Premier League table currently (Friday 4 April 2025) looks:

When it comes to predicting what that final Premier League table will look like after the 38th round of fixtures in May 2025, Opta have done some updated analysis following those midweek matches.

Using their latest data simulations, Opta analysis has shown this as the most likely 2024/25 Premier League table come the end of the season – Predicted table as at 4 April 2025:

Intriguing to see that despite Chelsea winning last night, the Opta predictions model still sees Newcastle United forecast to get a Champions League place above the Stamford Bridge club.

Liverpool for sure are booking two of the top five spots, Opta forecasting 89 and 77 points respectively.

Forest no doubt fearing a late collapse but the predictions model seeing them finish on 69 points.

Then we get to the crunch bit.

Only two points separating fourth, fifth and sixth, with this trio likely to fight it out with a two from there scenario.

Opta now predicting 66 points for Man Coty, 65 for Newcastle United, then 64 for Chelsea. United of course with a game in hand on these two and the rest.

Interesting to see how things look after this coming weekend’s matches, with Sunday seeing Brentford v Chelsea and then Man U v Man City. Before Newcastle travel to Leicester on Monday night.

A couple of draws in those Sunday matches and a win for Newcastle, that would do for me.

As you can see above, the Opta model currently predicting a 33% chance of Newcastle United qualifying for the Champions League via finishing top four.

However, the reality is that Newcastle United have a much higher chance of Champions League football than via that top four prediction, as it will be top five who qualify.

It is now ‘virtually impossible‘ for the Premier League not to get one of the two extra Champions League places, based on collective results in Europe this season for all leagues.

Now a case of just having to follow through on that trophy win at Wembley and getting Champions League football as well, starting at all but relegated already Leicester away from home to on Monday, then home games against Man U and Palace after that, these next three matches a massive chance for Newcastle to put themselves in a powerful position.

The remaining Newcastle United match schedule:

Monday 7 April – Leicester v Newcastle (8pm) Sky Sports

Sunday 13 April – Newcastle v Man U (4.30pm) Sky Sports

Wednesday 16 April – Newcastle v Palace (7.30pm) Sky Sports

Saturday 19 April – Villa v Newcastle (5.30pm) Sky Sports

Saturday 26 April – Newcastle v Ipswich (3pm)

Sunday 4 May – Brighton v Newcastle (2pm) Sky Sports

Saturday 10 May – Newcastle v Chelsea (12.30pm) TNT Sports

(Will be moved to Sunday 11 May and a 12 noon kick-off if Chelsea reach the semi-finals in the Conference League)